Journal

Journal ·

Why we ask you to guess

Before you see the results, Splitted asks one more thing: how do you think everyone else voted?

After you pick a side, there's one extra step. We ask you to guess what share of people will agree with you.

It started as a small experiment. It turned into one of my favourite parts of the app.

Most of us carry around a quiet assumption that reasonable people think the way we do. The guess makes that assumption visible. You say seventy percent will be with you, and then you find out it was thirty-eight.

That gap is the interesting part. It isn't about being right or wrong on the question itself. It's about how well you read the room.

Your guess stays hidden while the question is open. When it closes, we compare it with the real result and show you how close you got, and how you ranked against everyone else who guessed. Over time, that adds up to a picture of how well you understand people who aren't you.

My own numbers surprised me. I'm confident on questions where I'm usually wrong, and cautious on the ones where I'm closer than I expect.

It's a small habit, but a useful one: before you find out what the world thinks, stop and imagine it. Then let the result correct you.

Being on the winning side is luck. Knowing where the world stands is a skill.

— Patrice Cledo

Founder of Splitted